December 31-in-31: St.Louis Blues
Lou Farah
2020-12-25
The Blues had a successful regular season in 2019-2020, finishing first in the Western Conference with 94 points. Their post-season, however, didn’t go as well as they saw their playoff run end early by the Vancouver Canucks. With that behind them, the Blues had quite an eventful off-season, heading into the draft with seven picks and selecting three forwards, three defensemen, and one goaltender. In addition, they made some key moves via free agency and trades that are guaranteed to shake up the Roster for the 2020-2021 season. Below is a breakdown of the Blues’ draft and off-season moves, along with an organizational depth chart and fantasy rankings.
2020 Draft Recap
Round 1 – Pick #26: Jake Neighbours
Position: LW
Drafted from: Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL)
There are many reasons to like this pick for the St. Louis Blues. Neighbours is a tremendous skater with impressive acceleration and edgework. He utilizes his skating in all three zones, making him an effective 200-foot player who is very responsible defensively. In addition, his quick stick and ability to read the play pose serious problems for the opposition when he is on the forecheck.
Jake Neighbours almost unknowingly declined a FaceTime from Vladimir Tarasenko? #stlblues pic.twitter.com/aGuVdQkqyk
— Locked on Blues (@LockedOnBlues) October 8, 2020
Offensively, Neighbours’ game has come a long way over the past year. He finished his rookie season in 2017-2018 with four points in 11 games, and his sophomore season in 2018-2019 with 24 points in 47 games. Last year, however, he managed to tally 70 points (23G, 47A) in 64 games. This production has not only come from his impressive release, but also from his willingness to battle in front of the net and get some “ugly” goals.
Jake Neighbours already has a three point game with only ~10 min played so far. Here is his tap-in goal. It is his 22nd goal of the season.#2020NHLDraft pic.twitter.com/z8dmcHCImU
— Josh Tessler (@JoshTessler_) February 25, 2020
We will likely not be seeing Neighbours at the NHL level for another year or two at a minimum. In the meantime, he will look to continue developing in the WHL as his potential is promising.
Round 3 – Pick #86: Dylan Peterson
Position: C
Drafted from: US. National Under-18 Team (USDP)
Standing at 6-4, 192 lbs, Peterson brings an impressive physical presence on the ice and the potential to be a power forward at the next level. He has great playmaking skills, allowing him to find teammates in tight spaces and set them up for high danger chances. Some argue, though, that he relies on his playmaking skillset too much, as his natural instincts often lead him to pass instead of shoot, when he shouldn’t. This, in combination with his questionable deployment by the coaches, has caused his offensive production to take a hit, as he finished the USDP season averaging 0.55 points per game.
Top #2021NHLDraft eligible D Sean Behrens with a PPG playing up with the U18 squad, nice assist by Dylan Peterson showing his size and strength while cutting to the center of the ice #2020NHLDraft pic.twitter.com/KlgNhS66Zc
— Brandon Holmes (@BHolmes_Hockey) May 21, 2020
Peterson will be headed to Boston University next year, which will perhaps put him in a better position to work on his offensive game compared to the opportunities he was given with the development team. That all remains to be seen; however, in the meantime, expect to not see Peterson in the NHL for another three years or so.
Up next is a pair of big & talented wingers from the @USAHockeyNTDP.
Welcome to BU, Dylan Peterson!
Ranked 43rd among North American skaters for the upcoming 2020 NHL Draft, this California native had 36 pts. (12g, 24a) with the U18s last season.#GoBU | @DylanPeterson28 pic.twitter.com/bMQLEVNVzn
— BU Men's Hockey (@TerrierHockey) August 14, 2020
Round 3 – Pick #88, Leo Lööf
Position: D
Drafted from: Färjestad BKSuperElit (SHL)
Lööf is a strong defenseman with solid skating and good decision-making abilities. However, his biggest asset is his physicality, as he loves to play the body any chance he gets.
#Hlinka: Great game between Sweden & Slovakia, with Swedes taking it 3-2. Lots of storylines — beginning with Sweden's Leo Loof absolutely obliterating Samuel Knazko after the latter made a good read in the neutral zone. William Eklund & Erik Hedlund were excellent for Swedes. pic.twitter.com/0CjcUrg8ex
— Steve Kournianos (@TheDraftAnalyst) August 5, 2019
His offensive ceiling is quite low. Don’t look for Lööf to be an offensive weapon any time in the future, because he is a defensive defenseman in every sense of the word. He finished his season with the Under-20 SuperElit with 15 points in 43 games but managed to amass 93 penalty minutes in that timeframe. With that said, his ability to shut down the opposition – whether by hitting or stick checking – is a great addition to the Blues system, and makes him one of the most reliable defensemen in the organization. It is difficult to project when, if at all, he would transition to the NHL, but expect to see him be a contender if a bottom pairing position opens up in the future.
Round 4 – Pick #119, Tanner Dickinson
Position: C
Drafted from: Soo Greyhounds (OHL)
If there is one word to describe Dickinson, it would be “speed”. He possesses elite explosive skating and has the ability to blow by defenders. As a result, he is able to generate scoring chances off the rush. He finished his 2019-2020 OHL campaign with 40 points in 64 games, 18 of which came on the powerplay. Keep in mind that Sault Ste Marie is an offensively gifted team, which definitely helped boost his numbers to where they are.
The knock on him, however, is that he is almost exclusively offensively minded. Despite his speed, his smaller frame makes it challenging for him to compete in the defensive zone. He will certainly need to work on adding size and strength to improve his chances at making the NHL.
Round 5, Pick #150, Matt Kessel
Position: D
Drafted from: University of Massachusetts (NCAA)
The Blues went for size with their 150th pick, choosing a 6-3 203 lbs collegiate defenseman. Kessel’s size and consistent work ethic make him reliable on the blue line and quite solid defensively. Offensively, however, there is not much to be expected in the future, as Kessel does not put up impressive numbers on the scoresheet. He finished his last season in college with four goals and seven assists, in 34 games. The reasons for his lack of offensive production are probably two-fold: 1- He does not utilize his point shot enough, despite it being solid. 2- His skating is relatively weak, and his lack of mobility makes it harder for him to put himself in good positions to make plays.
Kessel’s skating will be among the major determining factors of whether he will be able to transition to the NHL. If he does, expect to see him in a defensive role with limited offensive upside.
Round 6, Pick #164 – Will Cranley
Position: G
Drafted from: Ottawa 67’s (OHL)
With their sixth-round pick, the Blues went for a very low-risk selection in Will Cranley, who could potentially provide a medium reward if he develops well within the system. Cranley is a big goaltender at 6-4, which is slightly taller than the average NHL goalie. In addition to his size, he is quite nimble and displays very impressive athleticism in net.
Will Cranley! 😱❌🥅@Ottawa67sHockey #OHL pic.twitter.com/bOMSMYBwzv
— Caitlin Berry (@caitlinsports) October 20, 2019
Cranley won 18 of his 21 contests last season and posted a 2.81 GAA. Although, despite flashes of brilliance, such as in the clip shown above, he put up a sub .900 save percentage last year as a backup for Ottawa. This was technically his rookie season, so he will look to continue developing over the next few years.
Round 7, Pick #194 – Noah Beck
Position: D
Drafted from: Fargo Force (USHL)
Beck is an intelligent defenseman with good size, standing at 6-3 and 191 lbs. He is generally good in all zones, and particularly effective in the offensive zone. In fact, he leads the Fargo Force in scoring by defensemen with 25 points in 42 games, earning him the team’s rookie of the year award.
Beck had committed to the Clarkson Golden Knights of the NCAA for 2020-2021, where he has one point in three games thus far. Playing in college will offer Beck an opportunity to further develop all facets of his game, and prove his offensive potential against higher levels of competition.
Off-season moves
In: Torey Krug, Kyle Clifford, Curtis McKenzie, Sam Anas, Steven Santini, John Gillies.
Out: Alex Piertrangelo, Jay Bouwmeester, Jake Allen, Troy Brouwer, Jordan Nolan, Derrick Pouliot, Andreas Borgman, Joey LaLeggia, Nick Lappin, Jake Dotchin,
Signed/Resigned: Jake Walman, Mitch Reinke, Jake Neighbours, Austin Poganski.
Retired: Alex Steen.
The Blues have witnessed quite the personnel turnover on defense, starting with losing their captain – Alex Pietrangelo – in free agency, which was undoubtedly the biggest loss the team suffered this off-season. The 30-year-old defenseman signed a seven-year contract with the Vegas Golden Knight, worth $8.8 million AAV.
Although Pietrangelo’s presence and contribution cannot be replaced by one player, the Blues are certainly hoping to address this gap he left by committee. In particular, by relying on the help of the newcomer, Torey Krug, whom the Blues signed to a seven-year contract worth $6.5 million AAV. Offensively speaking, Krug likely has what it takes to fill Pietrangelo’s shoes, as he has put up slightly better numbers throughout his career (0.64 PPG) than Pietrangelo (0.59 PPG). Keep in mind, though, that he has benefitted from the Bruins’ unstoppable offense over the years. From a defensive standpoint, however, Pietrangelo is a better well-rounded defenseman, and that is exactly where the Blues will feel his absence on the blueline.
Another defenseman that will be missed on the Blues’ backend is Jay Bouwmeester, who became an unrestricted free agent this off-season. Although no official retirement announcement has been made, it is very unlikely that Bouwmeester will return to the NHL next season, given the cardiac arrest episode he suffered in February of 2020 in a game against Anaheim. Doug Armstrong has been quite outspoken about his desire to hire Bouwmeester in a scouting role if, and when, he decides to hang them up.
The Blues are interested in hiring Jay Bouwmeester as a scout after the 37-year-old defenseman retires from the NHL. "I would love to work with him," general manager Doug Armstrong told the Cam & Strick Podcast. https://t.co/65JxwQQsl0
— NHL.com (@NHLdotcom) December 3, 2020
As for goaltending, the Blues decided to move on from Jake Allen this off-season, who has served as a backup for Binnington last year. Allen’s role will be filled by the 25-year-old Finnish netminder Ville Husso, who has yet to make his NHL debut. This move was necessary, as the Blues needed to free up some cap space for their other off-season moves. However, it was certainly a risky one, as Binnington showed some decline last season in his performance, and he will be heading into the 2020-2021 campaign with an unproven rookie as his backup. This will make the Blues’ goaltending situation very interesting to watch come next season.
Lastly, the Blues made a couple of key moves in their forwards’ lineup; letting go of Troy Brouwer and bringing in Kyle Clifford. Brouwer only appeared in 13 games for the Blues last season and managed to only put up one point. His departure will leave more room for some up and comers in the system to find their way into the lineup. As for Clifford, the 29-year-old forward was signed to a two-year $2 million AAV contract and will look to bring his usual physical presence to the Blues’ fourth line next year.
Graduating players
The following is a list of players who have graduated from one stage to the next within their hockey development:
Ville Husso: The 2014 fourth-round pick is finally ready to graduate to the NHL. Husso will serve as Binnington’s backup for the upcoming 2020-2021 season, which will be a big responsibility for him to fill Jake Allen’s shoes.
Sammy Blais: Last year was Blais’ first full season with the Blues, playing 40 games in the regular season and eight in the playoffs. For now, it is safe to say that Blais has graduated to the NHL as a full-time player.
Joel Hofer: The 20-year-old goaltender is considered by many to be the best goaltender prospect in the Blues’ system. After three successful seasons in the WHL, it appears that Hofer has graduated to the AHL, and will look to develop his game further in Springfield this upcoming season.
Tyler Tucker: After four years in the OHL – three and a half of which in Barrie and half a year in Flint – the seventh-rounder will take on a new challenge; as he will be playing for Springfield in the AHL during the 2020-2021 season. His progression has been impressive, especially as such a late pick. He is one to keep an eye on.
Dylan Peterson: The Blues’ 2020 third-round pick has moved on from the USHL, and committed to Boston University (NCAA) for the 2020-2021 season.
Hugh McGing: After putting up a point-per-game in his last NCAA season, the 5-8 forward is ready to take on professional hockey, as he will be suiting up for Springfield in the AHL in the 2020-2021 season.
Risers
The following are players who have seen their stock rise over the past year:
Scott Perunovich: The 22-year-old defenseman has continued to impress, putting up 40 points in 34 games in the NCAA last year; enough to earn him the Hobey Baker award. He will likely get a shot at the NHL this season. If not at the beginning of the year, then perhaps at some point during the middle of the season.
Niko Mikkola: Mikkola saw good improvements in his overall game from the year prior. His offensive game improved slightly, although he is not a point producer to begin with, in addition to his defensive game. This earned him a shot at the NHL last year, where he appeared in five games for the Blues.
Fallers
The following are players who have seen their stock fall over the past year. Keep in mind that this does not mean their chances at becoming NHLer’s is necessarily decreased (or gone); rather, this list only highlights players who had some performance setbacks:
Alexei Toropchenko: the 2017 fourth-round pick has seen his stock decrease a bit last season, after putting up five goals and four assists in 59 games in the AHL. As a result, the Blues have loaned him to Kunlun Red Star in the KHL, where he has scored eight points in 22 games thus far. He is certainly showing signs of improvements this year, though, and will look to bounce back and earn another shot in the AHL or NHL in the future.
Klim Kostin: Somewhere between a faller and a riser; Kostin showed good signs of improvement last year in the AHL, where he put up 30 points in 48 games, compared to 24 points in 60 games the year prior. However, he was loaned to Avangard Omsk in the KHL, where he has only put up 3 points in 20 games so far. The inconsistency in his performance from season-to-season earned him a spot on this list for this year, but he might work his way to the risers’ list if he manages to find his rhythm by the middle-to-end of the year.
Top 20 Fantasy Prospects
- Ville Husso – G
- Jordan Kyrou – RW
- Scott Perunovich – D
- Klim Kostin – RW
- Joel Hofer – G
- Sammy Blais – LW
- Keean Washkurak – C
- Mathias Laferriere – RW
- Mitch Reinke – D
- Dylan Peterson – C
- Jake Neighbours – LW
- Nikita Alexandrov – C
- Tyler Tucker – D
- Hugh McGing – LW
- Alexei Toropchenko – RW
- Jake Walman – D
- Mackenzie MacEachern – LW
- Nathan Walker – LW
- Tanner Kaspick – C
- Austin Poganski – RW
Prospect Depth Chart
This depth chart is ranked based on a mixture of NHL certainty/readiness and fantasy upside.
Left-Wing
Sammy Blais
Jake Neighbours
Mackenzie MacEachern
Hugh McGing
Nathan Walker
Erik Foley
Center
Keean Washkurak
Nikita Alexandrov
Dylan Peterson
Tanner Kaspick
Tanner Dickinson
Adam Musil
Right-Wing
Jordan Kyrou
Klim Kostin
Alexei Toropchenko
Mathias Laferriere
Austin Poganski
Left Defensemen
Scott Perunovich
Jake Walman
Tyler Tucker
Niko Mikkola
Leo Loof
Right Defensemen
Mitch Reinke
Steven Santini
Matt Kessel
Goaltenders
Ville Husso
Joel Hofer
Jon Gillies
Colten Ellis
Will Cranley
***
Thank you for joining me on this year’s 31 in 31 St. Louis Blues edition, be sure to check out the Blues’ page on the website for constant updates on prospects, and follow me on Twitter @LouFarah