Prospect Ramblings: Prospect Leading Shot Totals

Pat Quinn

2020-09-23

 

 

Welcome back to the Thursday prospect ramblings. This week I am going to go over the rookie, drafted prospect, and 2020 draftee shot totals in various leagues. You may be wondering why I am going over this but I have found that high shot totals are good indicators of future/helpful fantasy production whether that be big or small. Also, there are times where it does not quite work out but that is how prospects always are, a whole bunch never work out. If you can identify some to watch, they could help you in your keeper leagues in the future.

 

First, here are my #GoodTweets of the week(s):

 

 

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I am going to go through the NHL, AHL, OHL, WHL, and QMJHL shot total leaders

 

NHL

The top 22-rookies in the NHL in shots are

 

NHL GP Shots on Goal Shots on Goal per Game
Dominik Kubalik 68 157 2.31
Nick Suzuki 71 138 1.94
Denis Gurianov 64 132 2.06
Victor Olofsson 54 127 2.35
Quinn Hughes 68 126 1.85
Adam Fox 70 125 1.79
Jack Hughes 61 123 2.02
Cale Makar 57 121 2.12
Matt Roy 70 112 1.60
Kaapo Kakko 66 109 1.65
Kirby Dach 64 101 1.58
Ethan Bear 71 99 1.39
Ilya Mikheyev 39 98 2.51
Emil Bemstrom 56 97 1.73
Alex Nylander 65 94 1.45
Dante Fabbro 64 92 1.44
Martin Necas 64 88 1.38
Blake Lizotte 65 87 1.34
Sam Steel 65 85 1.31
Vladislav Gavrikov 69 81 1.17
Joel Farabee 52 81 1.56
Philippe Myers 50 78 1.56

 

 

I did not expect to see Nick Suzuki in second, but had Olafsson not been hurt then he would likely have placed second rather easily

 

Top 15 rookies in shots on goal per game from the top 25:

  1. Ilya Mikheyev – 2.51
  2. Victor Olofsson – 2.35
  3. Dominik Kubalik – 2.31
  4. Cale Makar – 2.12
  5. Denis Gurianov – 2.06 (Quite surprising as he had low ice time and minimal PP time all season)
  6. Jack Hughes – 2.02
  7. Nick Suzuki – 1.94
  8. Quinn Hughes – 1.85
  9. Adam Fox – 1.79
  10. Emil Bemstrom – 1.73
  11. Kaapo Kakko – 1.65
  12. Matt Roy – 1.60 (One to watch in LA)
  13. Kirby Dach – 1.58
  14. Philippe Myers – 1.56
  15. Joel Farabee – 1.56

 

I want to highlight the shooting percentages for a few players, so you can draft appropriately for the next season. Meaning, do not expect the same type of goal production for high percentage shooting players and expect more goals from the low percentage shooters

High shooting percentages:

  • Dominik Kubalik – 19.10%
  • Martin Necas – 18.20%
  • Victor Olofsson – 15.80%
  • Denis Gurianov – 15.20%

Low shooting percentages:

  • Matt Roy – 3.90%
  • Jack Hughes – 5.70%
  • Quinn Hughes and Adam Fox – 6.40%
  • Kirby Dach – 7.90%

 

 

AHL

Here are highlighted players as I left a lot of career AHLers off of the list

 

AHL GP SOG SOG/GP AHL Rookie (Y/N) NHL Team
Joel L’Esperance 58 194 3.34 N DAL
Eeli Tolvanen 63 191 3.03 N NSH
Jake Walman 57 173 3.04 N STL
Alex Barre-Boulet 60 172 2.87 N TB
Charles Hudon 46 161 3.50 N MTL
Josh Norris 56 160 2.86 Y OTT
Alex Formenton 61 158 2.59 Y OTT
Jack Studnicka 60 154 2.57 Y BOS
Nick Merkley 54 148 2.74 N NJ
Jake Bean 59 142 2.41 N CAR
Daniel Sprong 44 139 3.16 N WSH
Evan Bouchard 54 139 2.57 Y EDM
Jason Robertson 60 139 2.32 Y DAL
Oliver Wahlstrom 45 134 2.98 Y NYI
Brandon Hagel 59 126 2.14 N CHI
Nico Sturm 55 125 2.27 N MIN
Owen Tippett 46 124 2.70 N FLA

 

 

Nothing crazy to note here except:

  • I wish an NHL team would give Hudon a chance
  • Walman likely is not an NHLer but there is still a chance. Sheltered and on the PP

 

Top 15 shots on goal per game:

  1. Charles Hudon – 3.50
  2. Joel L’Esperance – 3.34
  3. Daniel Sprong – 3.16 (Capitals need to give him a top 6/9 change)
  4. Jake Walman – 3.04
  5. Eeli Tolvanen – 3.03 (Skating still not the greatest but how can Nashville keep him in the NHL?)
  6. Oliver Wahlstrom – 2.98 (Great to see as people were questioning his development this season)
  7. Alex Barre-Boulet – 2.87 (Another skilled Tampa signee)
  8. Josh Norris – 2.86
  9. Nick Merkley – 2.74 (As a Devils fan I hope this translate to the NHL)
  10. Owen Tippett – 2.70
  11. Alex Formenton – 2.59
  12. Evan Bouchard – 2.57
  13. Jack Studnicka – 2.57
  14. Jake Bean – 2.41
  15. Jason Robertson – 2.32

 

 

OHL

Here are 32 relevant OHLers as I left players with likely no future career off of the list

 

OHL GP SOG SOG/GP Affiliation
Neumann, Brett 62 298 4.81 UFA
Kaliyev, Arthur 57 288 5.05 LA
McMichael, Connor 52 283 5.44 WSH
Gogolev, Pavel 63 273 4.33 2020
Lyle, Brady 62 258 4.16 UFA signed with Providence (BOS AHL Affiliate)
Robertson, Nick 46 255 5.54 TOR
Hardie, James 59 252 4.27 2020
Golod, Maxim 63 252 4.00 2020
Perfetti, Cole 61 244 4.00 2020
Quinn, Jack 62 240 3.87 2020
Tomasino, Philip 62 238 3.84 NSH
Coskey, Cole 62 238 3.84 NYI
Gallant, Zach 59 236 4.00 SJ
Damiani, Riley 61 231 3.79 DAL
Afanasyev, Egor 62 226 3.65 NSH
Uba, Eric 63 226 3.59 2020
Foerster, Tyson 62 225 3.63 2020
Dellandrea, Ty 47 215 4.57 DAL
Tullio, Ty 62 213 3.44 2020
Struthers, Matthew 62 212 3.42 UFA signed with Cleveland (CBJ AHL Affiliate)
Hoefenmayer, Noel 58 211 3.64 UFA signed with Toronto’s AHL Affiliate
Douglas, Curtis 62 211 3.40 DAL
Dudas, Aidan 48 209 4.35 LA
Perreault, Jacob 57 207 3.63 2020
Angle, Tyler 62 202 3.26 CBJ
Trott, Zack 62 202 3.26 Over-Age Draftee 2020
Cuylle, Will 62 200 3.23 2020
Rossi, Marco 56 193 3.45 2020
Harley, Thomas 59 182 3.08 DAL
Merkley, Ryan 60 175 2.92 SJ
Foudy, Liam 45 172 3.82 CBJ
Byfield, Quinton 45 148 3.29 2020

 

 

Top 20 shots on goal per game from the OHL:

  1. Nick Robertson – 5.54
  2. Connor McMichael – 5.44
  3. Arthur Kaliyev – 5.05
  4. Brett Neumann – 4.81
  5. Ty Dellandrea – 4.57
  6. Aidan Dudas – 4.35
  7. Pavel Gogolev – 4.33
  8. James Hardie – 4.27
  9. Brady Lyle – 4.16
  10. Maxim Golod – 4.00
  11. Cole Perfetti – 4.00
  12. Zach Gallant – 4.00
  13. Jack Quinn – 3.87
  14. Philip Tomasino – 3.84
  15. Cole Coskey – 3.84
  16. Liam Foudy – 3.82
  17. Riley Damiani – 3.79
  18. Egor Afanasyev – 3.65
  19. Noel Hoefenmayer – 3.64
  20. Jacob Perreault – 3.63

 

 

WHL

Here are 23 relevant WHLers as I left players with likely no future career off of the list

 

WHL GP SOG SOG/GP Affiliation
Beckman, Adam 63 316 5.02 MIN
Kindopp, Bryce 63 272 4.32 ANA
Hamblin, James 63 271 4.30 UFA signed with Bakersfield (Edmonton AHL Affiliate)
Zary, Connor 57 257 4.51 2020
Cozens, Dylan 51 249 4.88 BUF
Robins, Tristen 62 233 3.76 2020
Mutala, Sasha 62 232 3.74 COL
Focht, Carson 61 229 3.75 VAN
Neighbours, Jake 64 228 3.56 2020
Kastelic, Mark 58 227 3.91 OTT
Jarvis, Seth 58 219 3.78 2020
Fizer, Tarun 57 218 3.82 Over-Age Draftee 2020
Kemp, Brett 62 216 3.48 Over-Age Draftee 2020
Toporowski, Luke 62 213 3.44 Over-Age Draftee 2020
Protas, Aliaksei 58 211 3.64 WSH
Wylie, Wyatte 62 211 3.40 PHI
Teply, Michal 53 210 3.96 CHI
Wedman, Matthew 54 208 3.85 FLA
Ludvig, Johnny 60 207 3.45 FLA
Burzan, Luka 63 205 3.25 COL
Greig, Ridly 56 199 3.55 UFA signed with Manitoba (Winnipeg AHL Affiliate)
Cotton, Alex 63 198 3.14 2020
Newkirk, Reece 55 196 3.56 NYI

 

 

Top 20 shots on goal per game from the WHL:

  1. Adam Beckman – 5.02
  2. Bryce Kindopp – 4.32
  3. Dylan Cozens – 4.88 (Should nicely fill the 2C role for Buffalo sooner than later)
  4. Connor Zary – 4.51
  5. James Hamblin – 4.30
  6. Michal Teply – 3.96
  7. Mark Kastelic – 3.91
  8. Matthew Wedman – 3.85
  9. Tarun Fizer – 3.82
  10. Seth Jarvis – 3.78
  11. Tristen Robins – 3.76
  12. Carson Focht – 3.75
  13. Sasha Mutala – 3.74
  14. Aliaksei Protas – 3.64 (His recent development is making him look like a steal for the Capitals)
  15. Reece Newkirk – 3.56
  16. Jake Neighbours – 3.56
  17. Ridly Greig – 3.55
  18. Brett Kemp – 3.48
  19. Johnny Ludvig – 3.45
  20. Luke Toporowski – 3.44

 

 

QMJHL

Here are 30 relevant QMJHLers as I left players with likely no future career off of the list

 

QMJHL GP SOG SOG/GP Affiliation
Légaré, Nathan 61 351 5.75 PIT
McKenna, Jeremy 57 340 5.96 UFA signed with Toronto’s AHL Affiliate
Lavoie, Raphaël 55 310 5.64 EDM
Beaucage, Alex 63 294 4.67 COL
Lafrenière, Alexis 52 261 5.02 2020
Poirier, Jérémie 64 261 4.08 2020
Paré, Cédric 64 250 3.91 BOS
Sokolov, Egor 52 246 4.73 2020
Boudrias, Shawn 59 246 4.17 MIN
Abramov, Mikhail 63 244 3.87 TOR
Fortier, Gabriel 64 234 3.66 TB
Malatesta, James 59 231 3.92 2021
Bergeron, Justin 57 226 3.96 Over-Age Draftee 2020
Likhachev, Yaroslav 60 218 3.63 2020
Voyer, Alex-Olivier 63 215 3.41 UFA signed with Providence (BOS AHL Affiliate)
Groulx, Benoit-Olivier 55 211 3.84 ANA
Poulin, Samuel 46 208 4.52 PIT
Campbell, Isiah 63 203 3.22 Over-Age Draftee 2020
Bourque, Mavrik 49 202 4.12 2020
Bibeau, Félix 63 202 3.21 NYI
Pelletier, Jakob 57 198 3.47 CGY
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël 62 187 3.02 MTL
Khovanov, Alexander 51 180 3.53 MIN
Alexandrov, Nikita 42 179 4.26 STL
Henman, Luke 63 178 2.83 CAR
Bykov, Maxim 63 176 2.79 2020
Kotkov, Vladislav 51 175 3.43 SJ
Bolduc, Samuel 61 175 2.87 NYI
Cormier, Lukas 44 174 3.95 2020
Simoneau, Xavier 61 174 2.85 2020

 

 

Top 23 shots on goal per game from the QMJHL:

  1. Jeremy McKenna – 5.96
  2. Nathan Légaré – 5.75
  3. Raphaël Lavoie – 5.64 (Very impressive for his D+1 season)
  4. Alexis Lafrenière – 5.02 (Fourth highest!?!?!? He is for sure a bust!)
  5. Egor Sokolov – 4.73
  6. Alex Beaucage – 4.67
  7. Samuel Poulin – 4.52
  8. Nikita Alexandrov – 4.26
  9. Shawn Boudrias – 4.17
  10. Mavrik Bourque – 4.12
  11. Jérémie Poirier – 4.08
  12. Justin Bergeron – 3.96
  13. Lukas Cormier – 3.95
  14. James Malatesta – 3.92 (Player to keep your eye on for 2021)
  15. Cédric Paré – 3.91
  16. Mikhail Abramov – 3.87
  17. Benoit-Olivier Groulx – 3.84 (Still likely not more than a third liner)
  18. Gabriel Fortier – 3.66
  19. Yaroslav Likhachev – 3.63
  20. Alexander Khovanov – 3.53
  21. Jakob Pelletier – 3.47
  22. Vladislav Kotkov – 3.43
  23. Alex-Olivier Voyer – 3.41

 

 

That is all for this week’s ramblings and while it may not seem like the greatest indicator of future production, but I have found that players who continue to put up high shot totals consistently through their development turn out to be top six players more often than not. If the players do not hit the top six upside, usually they prefer to shoot and can put up the shot totals to make them sneaky good adds for multi-category H2H leagues.

 

Thanks for reading, follow my twitter: @FHPQuinn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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