Prospect Ramblings: Prospect Leading Shot Totals
Pat Quinn
2020-09-23
Welcome back to the Thursday prospect ramblings. This week I am going to go over the rookie, drafted prospect, and 2020 draftee shot totals in various leagues. You may be wondering why I am going over this but I have found that high shot totals are good indicators of future/helpful fantasy production whether that be big or small. Also, there are times where it does not quite work out but that is how prospects always are, a whole bunch never work out. If you can identify some to watch, they could help you in your keeper leagues in the future.
First, here are my #GoodTweets of the week(s):
Maybe stop promoting the grit and shot blockers on broadcasts and instead show fantastic skilled plays you may miss unless it is slowed down? https://t.co/im5g2fomGQ
— Pat Quinn (not that one) (@FHPQuinn) September 22, 2020
Kravtsov is so good. The time to have sneakily obtain him in keeper leagues likely has passed you by https://t.co/IqJnsbhrTz
— Pat Quinn (not that one) (@FHPQuinn) September 18, 2020
***********
I am going to go through the NHL, AHL, OHL, WHL, and QMJHL shot total leaders
NHL
The top 22-rookies in the NHL in shots are
NHL | GP | Shots on Goal | Shots on Goal per Game |
Dominik Kubalik | 68 | 157 | 2.31 |
Nick Suzuki | 71 | 138 | 1.94 |
Denis Gurianov | 64 | 132 | 2.06 |
Victor Olofsson | 54 | 127 | 2.35 |
Quinn Hughes | 68 | 126 | 1.85 |
Adam Fox | 70 | 125 | 1.79 |
Jack Hughes | 61 | 123 | 2.02 |
Cale Makar | 57 | 121 | 2.12 |
Matt Roy | 70 | 112 | 1.60 |
Kaapo Kakko | 66 | 109 | 1.65 |
Kirby Dach | 64 | 101 | 1.58 |
Ethan Bear | 71 | 99 | 1.39 |
Ilya Mikheyev | 39 | 98 | 2.51 |
Emil Bemstrom | 56 | 97 | 1.73 |
Alex Nylander | 65 | 94 | 1.45 |
Dante Fabbro | 64 | 92 | 1.44 |
Martin Necas | 64 | 88 | 1.38 |
Blake Lizotte | 65 | 87 | 1.34 |
Sam Steel | 65 | 85 | 1.31 |
Vladislav Gavrikov | 69 | 81 | 1.17 |
Joel Farabee | 52 | 81 | 1.56 |
Philippe Myers | 50 | 78 | 1.56 |
I did not expect to see Nick Suzuki in second, but had Olafsson not been hurt then he would likely have placed second rather easily
Top 15 rookies in shots on goal per game from the top 25:
- Ilya Mikheyev – 2.51
- Victor Olofsson – 2.35
- Dominik Kubalik – 2.31
- Cale Makar – 2.12
- Denis Gurianov – 2.06 (Quite surprising as he had low ice time and minimal PP time all season)
- Jack Hughes – 2.02
- Nick Suzuki – 1.94
- Quinn Hughes – 1.85
- Adam Fox – 1.79
- Emil Bemstrom – 1.73
- Kaapo Kakko – 1.65
- Matt Roy – 1.60 (One to watch in LA)
- Kirby Dach – 1.58
- Philippe Myers – 1.56
- Joel Farabee – 1.56
I want to highlight the shooting percentages for a few players, so you can draft appropriately for the next season. Meaning, do not expect the same type of goal production for high percentage shooting players and expect more goals from the low percentage shooters
High shooting percentages:
- Dominik Kubalik – 19.10%
- Martin Necas – 18.20%
- Victor Olofsson – 15.80%
- Denis Gurianov – 15.20%
Low shooting percentages:
- Matt Roy – 3.90%
- Jack Hughes – 5.70%
- Quinn Hughes and Adam Fox – 6.40%
- Kirby Dach – 7.90%
AHL
Here are highlighted players as I left a lot of career AHLers off of the list
AHL | GP | SOG | SOG/GP | AHL Rookie (Y/N) | NHL Team |
Joel L’Esperance | 58 | 194 | 3.34 | N | DAL |
Eeli Tolvanen | 63 | 191 | 3.03 | N | NSH |
Jake Walman | 57 | 173 | 3.04 | N | STL |
Alex Barre-Boulet | 60 | 172 | 2.87 | N | TB |
Charles Hudon | 46 | 161 | 3.50 | N | MTL |
Josh Norris | 56 | 160 | 2.86 | Y | OTT |
Alex Formenton | 61 | 158 | 2.59 | Y | OTT |
Jack Studnicka | 60 | 154 | 2.57 | Y | BOS |
Nick Merkley | 54 | 148 | 2.74 | N | NJ |
Jake Bean | 59 | 142 | 2.41 | N | CAR |
Daniel Sprong | 44 | 139 | 3.16 | N | WSH |
Evan Bouchard | 54 | 139 | 2.57 | Y | EDM |
Jason Robertson | 60 | 139 | 2.32 | Y | DAL |
Oliver Wahlstrom | 45 | 134 | 2.98 | Y | NYI |
Brandon Hagel | 59 | 126 | 2.14 | N | CHI |
Nico Sturm | 55 | 125 | 2.27 | N | MIN |
Owen Tippett | 46 | 124 | 2.70 | N | FLA |
Nothing crazy to note here except:
- I wish an NHL team would give Hudon a chance
- Walman likely is not an NHLer but there is still a chance. Sheltered and on the PP
Top 15 shots on goal per game:
- Charles Hudon – 3.50
- Joel L’Esperance – 3.34
- Daniel Sprong – 3.16 (Capitals need to give him a top 6/9 change)
- Jake Walman – 3.04
- Eeli Tolvanen – 3.03 (Skating still not the greatest but how can Nashville keep him in the NHL?)
- Oliver Wahlstrom – 2.98 (Great to see as people were questioning his development this season)
- Alex Barre-Boulet – 2.87 (Another skilled Tampa signee)
- Josh Norris – 2.86
- Nick Merkley – 2.74 (As a Devils fan I hope this translate to the NHL)
- Owen Tippett – 2.70
- Alex Formenton – 2.59
- Evan Bouchard – 2.57
- Jack Studnicka – 2.57
- Jake Bean – 2.41
- Jason Robertson – 2.32
OHL
Here are 32 relevant OHLers as I left players with likely no future career off of the list
OHL | GP | SOG | SOG/GP | Affiliation |
Neumann, Brett | 62 | 298 | 4.81 | UFA |
Kaliyev, Arthur | 57 | 288 | 5.05 | LA |
McMichael, Connor | 52 | 283 | 5.44 | WSH |
Gogolev, Pavel | 63 | 273 | 4.33 | 2020 |
Lyle, Brady | 62 | 258 | 4.16 | UFA signed with Providence (BOS AHL Affiliate) |
Robertson, Nick | 46 | 255 | 5.54 | TOR |
Hardie, James | 59 | 252 | 4.27 | 2020 |
Golod, Maxim | 63 | 252 | 4.00 | 2020 |
Perfetti, Cole | 61 | 244 | 4.00 | 2020 |
Quinn, Jack | 62 | 240 | 3.87 | 2020 |
Tomasino, Philip | 62 | 238 | 3.84 | NSH |
Coskey, Cole | 62 | 238 | 3.84 | NYI |
Gallant, Zach | 59 | 236 | 4.00 | SJ |
Damiani, Riley | 61 | 231 | 3.79 | DAL |
Afanasyev, Egor | 62 | 226 | 3.65 | NSH |
Uba, Eric | 63 | 226 | 3.59 | 2020 |
Foerster, Tyson | 62 | 225 | 3.63 | 2020 |
Dellandrea, Ty | 47 | 215 | 4.57 | DAL |
Tullio, Ty | 62 | 213 | 3.44 | 2020 |
Struthers, Matthew | 62 | 212 | 3.42 | UFA signed with Cleveland (CBJ AHL Affiliate) |
Hoefenmayer, Noel | 58 | 211 | 3.64 | UFA signed with Toronto’s AHL Affiliate |
Douglas, Curtis | 62 | 211 | 3.40 | DAL |
Dudas, Aidan | 48 | 209 | 4.35 | LA |
Perreault, Jacob | 57 | 207 | 3.63 | 2020 |
Angle, Tyler | 62 | 202 | 3.26 | CBJ |
Trott, Zack | 62 | 202 | 3.26 | Over-Age Draftee 2020 |
Cuylle, Will | 62 | 200 | 3.23 | 2020 |
Rossi, Marco | 56 | 193 | 3.45 | 2020 |
Harley, Thomas | 59 | 182 | 3.08 | DAL |
Merkley, Ryan | 60 | 175 | 2.92 | SJ |
Foudy, Liam | 45 | 172 | 3.82 | CBJ |
Byfield, Quinton | 45 | 148 | 3.29 | 2020 |
Top 20 shots on goal per game from the OHL:
- Nick Robertson – 5.54
- Connor McMichael – 5.44
- Arthur Kaliyev – 5.05
- Brett Neumann – 4.81
- Ty Dellandrea – 4.57
- Aidan Dudas – 4.35
- Pavel Gogolev – 4.33
- James Hardie – 4.27
- Brady Lyle – 4.16
- Maxim Golod – 4.00
- Cole Perfetti – 4.00
- Zach Gallant – 4.00
- Jack Quinn – 3.87
- Philip Tomasino – 3.84
- Cole Coskey – 3.84
- Liam Foudy – 3.82
- Riley Damiani – 3.79
- Egor Afanasyev – 3.65
- Noel Hoefenmayer – 3.64
- Jacob Perreault – 3.63
WHL
Here are 23 relevant WHLers as I left players with likely no future career off of the list
WHL | GP | SOG | SOG/GP | Affiliation |
Beckman, Adam | 63 | 316 | 5.02 | MIN |
Kindopp, Bryce | 63 | 272 | 4.32 | ANA |
Hamblin, James | 63 | 271 | 4.30 | UFA signed with Bakersfield (Edmonton AHL Affiliate) |
Zary, Connor | 57 | 257 | 4.51 | 2020 |
Cozens, Dylan | 51 | 249 | 4.88 | BUF |
Robins, Tristen | 62 | 233 | 3.76 | 2020 |
Mutala, Sasha | 62 | 232 | 3.74 | COL |
Focht, Carson | 61 | 229 | 3.75 | VAN |
Neighbours, Jake | 64 | 228 | 3.56 | 2020 |
Kastelic, Mark | 58 | 227 | 3.91 | OTT |
Jarvis, Seth | 58 | 219 | 3.78 | 2020 |
Fizer, Tarun | 57 | 218 | 3.82 | Over-Age Draftee 2020 |
Kemp, Brett | 62 | 216 | 3.48 | Over-Age Draftee 2020 |
Toporowski, Luke | 62 | 213 | 3.44 | Over-Age Draftee 2020 |
Protas, Aliaksei | 58 | 211 | 3.64 | WSH |
Wylie, Wyatte | 62 | 211 | 3.40 | PHI |
Teply, Michal | 53 | 210 | 3.96 | CHI |
Wedman, Matthew | 54 | 208 | 3.85 | FLA |
Ludvig, Johnny | 60 | 207 | 3.45 | FLA |
Burzan, Luka | 63 | 205 | 3.25 | COL |
Greig, Ridly | 56 | 199 | 3.55 | UFA signed with Manitoba (Winnipeg AHL Affiliate) |
Cotton, Alex | 63 | 198 | 3.14 | 2020 |
Newkirk, Reece | 55 | 196 | 3.56 | NYI |
Top 20 shots on goal per game from the WHL:
- Adam Beckman – 5.02
- Bryce Kindopp – 4.32
- Dylan Cozens – 4.88 (Should nicely fill the 2C role for Buffalo sooner than later)
- Connor Zary – 4.51
- James Hamblin – 4.30
- Michal Teply – 3.96
- Mark Kastelic – 3.91
- Matthew Wedman – 3.85
- Tarun Fizer – 3.82
- Seth Jarvis – 3.78
- Tristen Robins – 3.76
- Carson Focht – 3.75
- Sasha Mutala – 3.74
- Aliaksei Protas – 3.64 (His recent development is making him look like a steal for the Capitals)
- Reece Newkirk – 3.56
- Jake Neighbours – 3.56
- Ridly Greig – 3.55
- Brett Kemp – 3.48
- Johnny Ludvig – 3.45
- Luke Toporowski – 3.44
QMJHL
Here are 30 relevant QMJHLers as I left players with likely no future career off of the list
QMJHL | GP | SOG | SOG/GP | Affiliation |
Légaré, Nathan | 61 | 351 | 5.75 | PIT |
McKenna, Jeremy | 57 | 340 | 5.96 | UFA signed with Toronto’s AHL Affiliate |
Lavoie, Raphaël | 55 | 310 | 5.64 | EDM |
Beaucage, Alex | 63 | 294 | 4.67 | COL |
Lafrenière, Alexis | 52 | 261 | 5.02 | 2020 |
Poirier, Jérémie | 64 | 261 | 4.08 | 2020 |
Paré, Cédric | 64 | 250 | 3.91 | BOS |
Sokolov, Egor | 52 | 246 | 4.73 | 2020 |
Boudrias, Shawn | 59 | 246 | 4.17 | MIN |
Abramov, Mikhail | 63 | 244 | 3.87 | TOR |
Fortier, Gabriel | 64 | 234 | 3.66 | TB |
Malatesta, James | 59 | 231 | 3.92 | 2021 |
Bergeron, Justin | 57 | 226 | 3.96 | Over-Age Draftee 2020 |
Likhachev, Yaroslav | 60 | 218 | 3.63 | 2020 |
Voyer, Alex-Olivier | 63 | 215 | 3.41 | UFA signed with Providence (BOS AHL Affiliate) |
Groulx, Benoit-Olivier | 55 | 211 | 3.84 | ANA |
Poulin, Samuel | 46 | 208 | 4.52 | PIT |
Campbell, Isiah | 63 | 203 | 3.22 | Over-Age Draftee 2020 |
Bourque, Mavrik | 49 | 202 | 4.12 | 2020 |
Bibeau, Félix | 63 | 202 | 3.21 | NYI |
Pelletier, Jakob | 57 | 198 | 3.47 | CGY |
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël | 62 | 187 | 3.02 | MTL |
Khovanov, Alexander | 51 | 180 | 3.53 | MIN |
Alexandrov, Nikita | 42 | 179 | 4.26 | STL |
Henman, Luke | 63 | 178 | 2.83 | CAR |
Bykov, Maxim | 63 | 176 | 2.79 | 2020 |
Kotkov, Vladislav | 51 | 175 | 3.43 | SJ |
Bolduc, Samuel | 61 | 175 | 2.87 | NYI |
Cormier, Lukas | 44 | 174 | 3.95 | 2020 |
Simoneau, Xavier | 61 | 174 | 2.85 | 2020 |
Top 23 shots on goal per game from the QMJHL:
- Jeremy McKenna – 5.96
- Nathan Légaré – 5.75
- Raphaël Lavoie – 5.64 (Very impressive for his D+1 season)
- Alexis Lafrenière – 5.02 (Fourth highest!?!?!? He is for sure a bust!)
- Egor Sokolov – 4.73
- Alex Beaucage – 4.67
- Samuel Poulin – 4.52
- Nikita Alexandrov – 4.26
- Shawn Boudrias – 4.17
- Mavrik Bourque – 4.12
- Jérémie Poirier – 4.08
- Justin Bergeron – 3.96
- Lukas Cormier – 3.95
- James Malatesta – 3.92 (Player to keep your eye on for 2021)
- Cédric Paré – 3.91
- Mikhail Abramov – 3.87
- Benoit-Olivier Groulx – 3.84 (Still likely not more than a third liner)
- Gabriel Fortier – 3.66
- Yaroslav Likhachev – 3.63
- Alexander Khovanov – 3.53
- Jakob Pelletier – 3.47
- Vladislav Kotkov – 3.43
- Alex-Olivier Voyer – 3.41
That is all for this week’s ramblings and while it may not seem like the greatest indicator of future production, but I have found that players who continue to put up high shot totals consistently through their development turn out to be top six players more often than not. If the players do not hit the top six upside, usually they prefer to shoot and can put up the shot totals to make them sneaky good adds for multi-category H2H leagues.
Thanks for reading, follow my twitter: @FHPQuinn