NCAA Hockey Mid-Season Scoring Analysis

Jokke Nevalainen

2018-01-21

 

Welcome to the second edition of my Mid-Season Scoring Analysis. This time I’ll be focusing on college hockey, more specifically NCAA Division I. In my previous article named “CHL Mid-Season Scoring Analysis”, I explained the determining factors that I use when looking at scoring numbers from development leagues, so if you’re wondering what NHLe means or why I split players into groups based on their birth year, I suggest checking that article.

 

NCAA Division I is split into six conferences but unfortunately we have NHLe translation factors only available for four of those conferences, so we don’t know how good or bad the numbers from Atlantic Hockey Association and Western Collegiate Hockey Association conferences are. This is probably because there isn’t a high amount of players coming to the NHL from those two conferences, and when I went through the current scoring leaders from those two conferences, I didn’t see many familiar names there.

 

Even though the same NHLe translation factors that were used in the CHL article are also used in this article, I wouldn’t say the numbers are directly comparable between CHL and NCAA. The CHL has players between ages 16 and 20 while the NCAA has players between ages 18 and 24, so it’s more difficult for 18 and 19-year-olds to score big numbers in college hockey than it is in major junior.

 

Because there are less NHL prospects in college hockey compared to major junior, I decided to combine forwards and defensemen into one chart, and I also added some interesting free agents in there as well.

 

All data is taken from EliteProspects.com on January 18th, and points-per-game average is used. Let’s move on to the good stuff.

 

18-year-old players

 

 

Ryan Poehling is leading the list of 18-year-old players by a wide margin. He has an advantage against his competition as he already played college hockey last season as a 17-year-old but his numbers are very good regardless of that.

 

Behind him, we have two defensemen in Ian Mitchell and Michael Anderson, while Maxwell Gildon is not far behind those two. It’s quite impressive that these defensemen are right up there with the projected 2018 Top 10 pick Brady Tkachuk, and ahead of players like 2017 first round selections Shane Bowers and Joshua Norris – not to mention another projected 2018 Top 10 pick in Quinn Hughes. Similarly to what was noticed in the CHL