Prospect Ramblings: Under-owned Fantasy Prospect Forwards

Brayden Olafson

2020-04-17

 

The ongoing social distancing mandate has given me an excellent opportunity to begin working on my fantasy draft lists for this offseason. Typically I would’ve begun earlier and tweaked the lists throughout the season, but this year I simply didn’t have the time. As such, one tool that I’ve relied on to form a rough starting point for my list is the ownership percentage of players in Fantrax leagues. The stat is available to anyone who holds a fantasy team in a Fantrax league, and most other platforms have a value reflecting the same statistic. 

 

During my initial tweaking, I found a handful of players at the bottom of the barrel that baffled me. I wanted to take today’s Ramblings to discuss them a bit, and give my pitch for why their ownership rate should climb this offseason, beginning with you getting the inside scoop here and now. 

 

LW | Jayden Halbgewachs, San Jose Sharks 

1% owned in Fantrax Leagues | Growth Potential 200%-400%

They say every reaction in the world of fantasy hockey is an overreaction… well, they don’t actually say that about fantasy hockey, but I think when it comes to Halbgewaschs, that’s the case.

 

Is he a late bloomer? Absolutely. But the 23-year-old has already shown improvement at the AHL level since turning pro. He has one year remaining on his deal with San Jose and the team just might be in a position to give him a legitimate shot in the NHL. 

 

Give a listen to Epiose 82 of the Dobber Prospects Radio Podcast with Peter Harling. Around the 71 minute-mark, Peter asks Craig Button about how to tell the difference between a late bloomer who will go on to have some success as a pro, and one who won’t. Based on Craig’s answers, I think Halbgewachs has the potential to make an impact in the NHL before his career is over. 

 

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

 

Based on some current comparables of Alex Volkov (TB) and Aleksi Saarela (FLA), who granted, may be over-owned, I’d say Halbgewachs stands to be snapped up in closer to 4% of leagues – a 400% increase from his current rate.

 

C | Adam Beckman, Minnesota Wild

5% owned in Fantrax Leagues | Growth Potential 150%-200%

The 2018 third-round draft-pick outscored any player in the Western Hockey League this year, tallying just shy of 50 goals as an 18-year-old. The spike in production comes as a bit of a surprise considering his pedigree, but Beckman boasts a mature skillset which was foolish for all of us to doubt. Even more foolish is the fact that a player who would now be considered in the top-20 of his draft class remained stuck at 5% ownership. 

 

The toolsy, and tenacious forward signed his ELC with the Wild this March and could be a darkhorse for the 9-game trial this fall. Minnesota’s lack of recent success is enough reason to believe that few jobs are secure on the fr