Prospect Ramblings – Do Not Overrate Preseason Scoring

Pat Quinn

2019-09-19

Hi, to start, buy the guide before the season starts: https://dobbersports.com/product/dobbers-2019-20-fantasy-hockey-guide/

 

***************

 

Welcome to the later in the day prospect ramblings. I have been on vacation the past couple of Thursdays so my apologies for leaving everyone in the dark! I also didn’t update my leaving on twitter, but I made hilarious observations the entire time:

 

{source} <blockquote class=”twitter-tweet” data-lang=”en”><p lang=”en” dir=”ltr”>They still pretty much draft the same in the first round though, just instead of reaching they take low ceiling potential players. So did they learn that??? <a href=”https://t.co/DxeQhfHHvo”>https://t.co/DxeQhfHHvo</a></p>&mdash; Pat Quinn (not that one) (@FHPQuinn) <a href=”https://twitter.com/FHPQuinn/status/1174315505009582081?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw”>September 18, 2019</a></blockquote>{/source}

 

Alright, let us get in to it

 

 

***************************

 

I bring this sup every time hockey is in preseason, but do not overrate your favorite prospect (or an unknown player) scoring in preseason because of the lesson many fantasy GMs learned back in 2005-2006: Brandon Bockenski. He had an amazing preseason playing along side Heatley and Spezza, but ultimately was never able to keep up in the NHL. He was a great AHL, and is a great, KHL scorer though. The lesson is a lot of GMs reached at their respective drafts and got burned, and year after year a preseason scoring spree overrates a few players.

 

My advice is watch and enjoy the games for what they are, exhibition, but do not follow the point totals. Watch for deployment over anything, as coaches minds can change in a heartbeat.

 

I remember watching preseason in 2017-2018 (or 2016-2017) thinking Dylan Strome was ready and getting burned. I do remember standing in the boardroom we do our draft in being super excited for a “sleeper” and alcohol was involved in my reasoning.

 

With all of that let me take a look at some of the list of current top preseason scorers for prospects (even though it is super early in to preseason):

  • Connor Garland (ARI): 1GP-2G-1A-3P; I hope he gets top nine time in Arizona, but the team is built in such a way that he could be on line 2 or line 4 and still have a chance to score. Point totals for a majority of the roster will all be eerily similar in the desert this year
  • Alexander Nylander (CHI): 2GP-1G-2A-3P; Well, well, well, look who