Prospect Ramblings: Lessons from a 2016 Prospect Draft

Hayden Soboleski

2018-09-22

 

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Storytime:

 

In 2016, the (then) DobberProspects writers team held a prospects draft in a dynasty league. The league continues to evolve but it remains a cap league where every penny counts, making prospects on ELCs incredibly valuable. For this reason, there was lots of variation on draft day. Some of us wanted players already cracking the league to fill some cheap roster spots, while some of us preferred high-upside projects that did or didn’t turn out. Looking back a few years later, let’s try and learn from certain writers’ successes and mistakes.

 

Full disclosure – I am Colorado in this draft. I won’t tell which current writers were involved at the time, but feel free to ask them ;)

 

ROUND 1 

1: New Jersey Devils – Auston Matthews 13: Buffalo Sabres – Matt Murray
2: Montreal Canadiens – Jesse Puljujarvi 14: Arizona Coyotes – Christian Dvorak
3: WInnipeg Jets – Patrick Laine 15: Chicago Blackhawks – Matt Barzal
4: LA Kings – Mitch Marner 16: Columbus Blue Jackets – Zach Werenski
5: Florida Panthers – William Nylander 17: Colorado Avalanche (via CGY) – Thatcher Demko
6: Washington Capitals – Dylan Strome 18: Ottawa Senators – Nick Ritchie
7: San Jose Sharks – Matthew Tkachuk 19: Calgary Flames (via COL) – Jon Gillies
8: Tampa Bay – Sebatian Aho 20: Toronto Maple Leafs – Shea Theodore
9: Dallas Stars – Kyle Connor 21: St. Louis Blues – Stephen Johns
10: Pittsburgh Penguins – Mikko Rantanen 22: San Jose Shaks (via CAR) – Timo Meier
11: Edmonton Oilers – Pierre-Luc Dubois 23: Minnesota Wild – Pavel Zacha
12: Vancouver Canucks – Ivan Provorov 24: Nashville Predators – Jakub Vrana


Lessons:

  • On average, the forwards made an impact faster than the defense, which were faster than the goalies. Murray barely qualified for the prospects draft so he is an outlier, and Demko and Gillies are yet to pay off.
  • Don’t go crazy with a top pick. At the time there was some reasoning for taking Puljujarvi ahead of Laine based on projected linemates. That was a mistake.

 

ROUND 2

25: Nashville – Brett Ritchie 37: Vancouver – Jakub Chychrun
26: Minnesota – Mikhail Sergachev 38: Edmonton – Jake Bean
27: Carolina – Clayton Keller 39: Pittsburgh – Travis Sanheim
28: St. Louis – Julius Honka 40: Dallas – Brandon Montour
29: Toronto – Lawson Crouse 41: Tampa Bay – Travis Konecny
30: Columbus (via COL) – Esa Lindell 42: San Jose – Tyson Jost
31: Ottawa – Mike Matheson 43: Washington – Ryan Pulock
32: Calgary – Brock Boeser 44: Florida – Logan Brown
33: Columbus – Alex Nylander 45: LA – Anthony DeAngelo
34: Chicago – Olli Juolevi 46: Winnipeg – Michael Dal Colle
35: Arizona – Colin White