Prospect Ramblings: Rookies in Top 300 and the difference from the Prospect Ranks (Sep 01)

by Paul Zwambag on September 1, 2016
  • Prospects Rambling
  • Prospect Ramblings: Rookies in Top 300 and the difference from the Prospect Ranks (Sep 01)

DobberHockey.com has released it's Top 300 Keeper League Skaters for September. Let's have a look at where the rookies rank on the list and the differences from Dobber's mid-August Prospect Ranks…

 

*Reminders:

The Keeper League list considers points this year, their 3YP, their upside, proneness to injury, how their depth chart looks now and in the future. Points-only and of course positions are not factored.

The Prospect Ranks take into account the organizational depth chart, wait time, upside and NHL certainty. The 'main' rankings have a very small impact on these rankings with the idea being that prospects worthy of consideration in the main rankings are obviously a little more valuable.

 

Rookie Rank

September

Keeper Rank

Player

Team

Dobber's

Prospect Rank

1

42

Patrik Laine

WPG

2

2

43

Auston Matthews

TOR

1

3

78

Mitch Marner

TOR

4

4

80

Jesse Puljujarvi

EDM

3

5

154

Dylan Strome

ARI

5

6

158

William Nylander

TOR

6

7

167

Oliver Bjorkstrand

CBJ

14

8

168

Sebastian Aho

CAR

9

9

174

Pavel Zacha

NJD

13

10

176

Pierre-Luc Dubois

CBJ

7

11

188

Christian Dvorak

ARI

8

12

189

Jimmy Vesey

NYR

12

13

205

Tyler Motte

CHI

58

14

222

Mathew Barzal

NYI

18

15

227

Kyle Connor

WPG

11

16

234

Anthony Mantha

DET

21

17

235

Kevin Fiala

NSH

28

18

244

Mikko Rantanen

COL

10

19

245

Martin Reway

MON

35

20

248

Sonny Milano

CBJ

19

21

252

Nick Ritchie

ANA

16

22

253

Travis Konecny

PHI

15

23

256

Nikolay Goldobin

SJS

66

24

257

Clayton Keller

ARI

22

25

259

Jakub Vrana

WAS

27

26

266

Timo Meier

SJS

36

27

269

Ty Rattie

STL

33

28

272

Mike Matheson

FLA

 D5

29

274

Matthew Tkachuk

CGY

25

30

275

Alex Tuch

MIN

50

31

278

Nick Cousins

PHI

56

32

280

Charles Hudon

MON

64

33

282

Joel Eriksson Ek

MIN

79

34

283

Connor Brown

TOR

45

35

286

Devin Shore

DAL

54

36

288

Kalle Kossila

ANA

120

37

289

Lawson Crouse

ARI

44

38

290

Francis Perron

OTT

99

39

291

Alexander Nylander

BUF

41

40

292

Pavel Buchnevich

NYR

37

41

293

Colin White

OTT

23

42

294

Nick Schmaltz

CHI

51

43

297

Alan Quine

NYI

86

 

What we can take away from this lengthy chart…

Laine being one spot ahead of Matthews in the 'main' rankings, Laine is going to have a better rookie year, being a winger is a lot easier to transition to the pros than a centreman. There is so much more to take in defense-wise as a centreman.  Matthews will have to win over Mike Babcock's approval, which I think will happen pretty quickly. Laine and Matthews should be taken in fantasy drafts in the fourth round.

Marner and Puljujarvi are next on the 'main' rankings list, 35 spots later. That's a difference of three full rounds. There is still a risk of Marner not making the team, so beware of his re-draft value, in a keeper league, you should be drafting these two guys in the sixth or seventh round.

Waiting another six or seven rounds to draft the next highest rookies ranked, moving all the way down to the 13th round of your draft and can now take a look at rookies like; Dylan Strome and William Nylander. In the next round you can look at Bjorkstrand, Aho, Zacha and Dubois. At this point in the draft, taking chances on rookies of this caliber could really put your team over the top of the competition if these guys end up being Calder candidates.

The last group of players who could contend for the Calder this coming year is the next level of rookies on the chart; Zacha, Dubois, Dvorak, Vesey. Drafting these guys late in the draft, rounds 14 or 15. Be wary of these choices, they could easily not make their teams out of training camp, so you may have to drop one of these guys if you drafted them in a re-draft league.

Late round fliers that have a chance to be good rookies are from Tyler Motte (ranked 205) to Ty Rattie (ranked 269). Taking a chance on any of these guys in that range could help you with depth on your rosters. Also they could become keepers if your leagues uses draft picks from the previous year's keepers. These guys' stocks will increase by next years' draft.

The only rookie defensemen ranked in the Top 300 Keeper League Rankings is Mike Matheson from the Florida Panthers. Ranked at 272, the 28th ranked rookie skater in the 'main' rankings. He is the fifth ranked d-man in the Prospect Rankings behind Ivan Provorov, Shea Theodore, Zach Werenski and Ryan Pulock. I think any one of those five defensemen could be an impact on the back end and be helpful in your fantasy leagues.

*

As for the biggest differences from Prospect Rankings to Keeper League Rankings:

Kalle Kossila:  +84 spots

Francis Perron:  +59 spots

Joel Eriksson Ek:  +46 spots

Tyler Motte:  +45 spots

Alan Quine:  +43 spots

Nikolay Goldobin:  +43 spots

Charles Hudon:  +23 spots

***

Feel free to leave comments, questions or concerns below, have fun playing the game of Fantasy Hockey.

Paul Zwambag
@zwambag